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Smartphone market sees strongest Q3 since 2021

Staff Writer
By Staff Writer, ITWeb
Johannesburg, 01 Nov 2024
Canalys remains cautiously optimistic on smartphone shipments for the rest of the year.
Canalys remains cautiously optimistic on smartphone shipments for the rest of the year.

Global smartphone shipments grew 5% year-on-year in Q3 2024, reaching 309.9 million units, the strongest Q3 performance since 2021.

This is according to market research firm Canalys, which notes this surge was fuelled by aggressive launches from smartphone brands offering refreshed portfolios with strong value propositions, encouraging upgrade numbers amid a favourable refresh cycle and robust consumer sentiment.

According to the research, Samsung led with 57.5 million shipments, bolstered by a streamlined entry-level line-up.

Apple retained second place with a record 54.5 million units, driven by the iPhone 16’s strong debut in emerging markets from narrower hardware gaps between base and Pro models.

Xiaomi held third place, with 42.8 million units and a 14% market share, benefiting from strategic inventory positioning for new launches in core markets.

Oppo and Vivo finished the top five, shipping 28.6 million and 27.2 million units, respectively, with healthy performances in the highly-competitive Asia Pacific region, says Canalys.

“Apple achieved record Q3 shipments, driven by a strategic blend of channel and supply chain optimisations,” says Canalys analyst Le Xuan Chiew.

“Post-WWDC’s [Worldwide Developers Conference’s] Apple Intelligence announcements, consumers are actively upgrading from older iPhone 12 and 13 models to embrace this new technology. Moreover, Apple’s diversified iPhone production, notably in India, has significantly reduced lead times, streamlining pre-order fulfilment and stimulating local demand through competitive pricing.

“Supplementary production of previous-generation iPhones, such as the iPhone 13 and 15, in India has further bolstered Apple’s operator channel shipments into the US and Europe, enabling it to reclaim market share in the mid-range segment and capitalise on replacement demand.

“Nevertheless, it is vital to note the geopolitical obstacles, and the delayed deployment of Apple Intelligence may substantially hinder Apple’s performance both in the festive fourth quarter and in 2025.”

Canalys senior analyst Toby Zhu adds that intense competition in the low-end market has persisted, despite a strong first half of 2024 buoyed by robust consumer demand and favourable economic conditions.

He points out that Oppo’s successful launch of the rebranded A3 series in the $100 to $200 price segment, particularly in Southeast Asia, is a prime example of this strategy.

“By streamlining its portfolio, Oppo has seen 30% year-on-year growth in the region and is poised to further increase its market share. But rising component costs and channel saturation pose challenges to long-term profitability and the sustainability of mass-market strategies,” says Zhu.

“To address these challenges, brands are expanding their focus to mid-tier growth in emerging markets. In the second half of 2024, Xiaomi is leveraging its strong open market presence and brand stores to elevate its mid- to high-end sales and redirect consumer demand toward its Pro series. Meanwhile, Vivo expanded its V40 series to cover a wider range of variants to boost its mid-range offerings.”

Canalys remains cautiously optimistic for the rest of the year, with vendors sharpening inventory positioning and brand building to fuel growth into 2025.

“Emerging markets, such as Southeast Asia and Latin America, have outperformed the overall market, driven by increased price competition and channel incentives in the entry-level segment,” says Chiew.

“While this segment remains vital for volume and market share, inflationary pressures limit the profitability of ultra-low-end devices, making sustained price wars challenging. In mature markets, such as the US, China and Western Europe, premium segment growth will be driven by AI-powered differentiation.

“Vendors such as Vivo and Honor are expanding their mid-range portfolios through innovative channel strategies, including pop-up stores and operator partnerships, to capture upgraders from the $100 to $200 price band.”

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